Affected by the gradual increase of energy and environmental costs, the current situation of aluminum enterprises in the east is severe, and the aluminum industry in Shandong and Henan provinces are even worse. "More than 40% of the cost of electrolytic aluminum is electricity. If calculated on the basis of an average price of 0.48 yuan per kilowatt-hour and aluminum prices of 16,600 yuan per tonne, many factories can barely maintain it." An unnamed aluminum company is in charge of the National People's Congress.
At the same time, in the future, the development of the aluminum industry, especially the electrolytic aluminum industry, will gradually shift to the western region where resources are abundant. The Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang and Gansu-Ningxia regions will become the focus of investment in the aluminum industry.
Unbearable costs and resources
“The situation in Henan is more difficult, energy prices have risen, and electricity prices have also risen. Although companies haven’t lost much, they are basically not profitable,†said Liang Xuemin, an aluminum electrolysis expert and deputy general manager and chief engineer of Henan Zhongfu Industry Co., Ltd.
The reporter learned that in the provinces where domestic electricity prices are high, the survival situation of aluminum enterprises is even more severe.
It is reported that since May last year, Henan electrolytic aluminum industry has entered a comprehensive loss, the industry-wide difficulties even worse than the financial crisis. "Some companies have already shut down and have not resumed production yet." Liang Xuemin said.
Analyze Zhang Rufeng, a senior analyst at Baichuan Information Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd., the resource issue of aluminum enterprises also began to show. “At present, the bauxite mine in Henan is already very tense, and there may still be untapped, but not too much,†Liang Xuemin said.
The output of electrolytic aluminum in the five western provinces will exceed half
"During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, the supply of domestic electrolytic aluminum is still relatively surplus, and competition has entered a relatively fierce era. The transfer of incremental resources to the west will be a general trend." Li Defeng, Director of Aluminum Department of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, stated at the forum. .
Li Defeng said, "Till 2015, China is expected to have a capacity of one million tons of electrolytic aluminum production and processing. The upstream and downstream industrial chains will basically form more than 10 large-scale enterprise groups, with core production accounting for more than 60% of the country's total. In Qinghai, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Yunnan and other five provinces and regions, the output of electrolytic aluminum may reach over 50% of the national total output."
For many high-energy-consuming enterprises in the east, the driving force for the westward migration comes from the abundant basic conditions in the west, especially the preferential electricity prices. According to calculations, 1 ton of electrolytic aluminum requires about 14,000 kWh, and if it is 0.1 yuan less per kWh, it would be equivalent to saving 1,400 yuan per ton of electrolytic aluminum.
"Now the eastern aluminum industry has excess capacity. In terms of electrolytic aluminum, Henan and Shandong are the most prominent. After the transfer, it is a win-win situation for the enterprise and the local area." My steel network analyst Li Xun said that companies can reduce costs and approach the market. Locally, it can increase employment and promote economic development.
“The first transfer was the electrolytic aluminum plant, which has already begun a large number of transfers; closely followed by the profile plant and aluminum rod plant, which is a gradual shift from the low end to the high end.†Li Xun said.
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