Although many people at home and abroad who are optimistic about the Chinese manufacturing industry do not care about the “wolf†that has been hailed from around 2010, they believe that China has a huge domestic market and a large overseas market depth. Even if China’s manufacturing industry encounters internal and external problems, it will not It has fallen to a very bad point, but even if these optimists admit that the times are developing and the market is dynamic, if China's manufacturing is self-proclaimed, it cannot be permanently stuck at the position of the "world factory."
Needless to say, currently China manufacturing has indeed encountered a key node: in domestic demand, despite the slogan of “transforming to the domestic market,†it has been called for several years, but “domestic dependence on Chinese manufacturing†has not yet been formed. On the one hand, domestic demand has not grown as fast as People's expectations, high savings rates, people are afraid to "willfully spend money", on the other hand, many people have limited trust in the Chinese-made brands; in terms of external demand, the US economic data have risen but the long and short differences still exist, the European economy is picking up Not as expected, Japan, Australia, and other markets are looking at their weaknesses, and the emerging markets in Africa, which have always been serving China’s “strengthening their efforts†and “digesting the poolâ€, will continue to encounter bottlenecks, although the momentum remains the same. Although China’s economic data in the first quarter were routinely distorted due to the Spring Festival, according to customs and other relevant departments and feedback from the “large†households in the manufacturing industries in the coastal and inland regions, it is true that there are some areas with underemployment.
As China's manufacturing industry has reached a crossroads, China’s manufacturing industry is in urgent need of transformation and new boost to gain new growth momentum in order to maintain and boost its growth rate and employment for the Chinese economy. There is no significant difference between the parties. The difference lies in exactly how the transition should be made. The future that China will create will require a professional path or a “road to changeâ€.
The so-called professional road is the so-called “cage-for-cage changeâ€. The idea is to improve the grade, efficiency, and profitability of China's manufacturing by compressing backward and surplus production capacity so as to upgrade it from the current “shanzhai route†and “dumping routeâ€. In order to profit from high value-added products such as brands, technology, and craftsmanship, the company turned from the “grassroots market†to the “tall†market, opening up a whole new world for Chinese manufacturing.
The so-called “road to change†is the so-called “there is no water below, and another place to digâ€. The idea is to make use of the unbalanced development of the domestic and foreign regions, and to apply the manufacturing sector that was once suitable but has become backward and inefficient. China's central and western regions and developing countries, which are lagging behind in development and whose labor prices are still relatively low, have shifted.
Since the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008 and the fact that China has been experiencing bottlenecks after more than a decade of high growth, the disputes between the professional-"turnover" routes have been fierce. At the "two sessions" that are being held, the two Chinese-made transition lines are still arguing, and according to the current situation, this dispute is likely to continue for quite some time.
Let China manufacture "represents goods", "store goods", and "cottage routes" to reborn and become irresolute, become a high-end manufacturing field, change the "manufacturing power" to "manufacturing realm," and its benefits are self-evident. It can stimulate scientific research, higher education and other fields, promote the efficiency of transformation of scientific research results, and can also increase the added value of China's industrial products and China's manufacturing "food chain" level in the global manufacturing market, and enhance China's manufacturing market "resistance to fight." Looking at the changes in the manufacturing realm in the history of the industrial revolution and even in the history of human society, we can see that regardless of China, the ancient handicraft industry in Italy, or the textile, car industry in Britain, the United States, Japan and other countries in the so-called “wave ageâ€. Industry and household appliance manufacturing industries will experience a weak, strong, dominant, and extreme prosperity. They will eventually have to go through upgrades, transitions, and eliminate surpluses and obsolete production capacity. In addition, the process of awakening the way to live, some short and some long, some active and some passive, and some have gained new room for development after the upgrade, and some have failed to recover, no longer the past. It can be said that the “professional line†is a must for any major manufacturing country to go through a certain stage and it cannot be surpassed. Chinese manufacturing is no exception.
There have been instances in China’s history of stubbornly sticking to the old “food chain†and regretting that they missed the opportunity to upgrade their manufacturing industries. For example, the printing industry once suffered from the traditions, accumulation, and certain advantages of engraving, and eventually lost and printed. The traditional silk and silk textile industry in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang traditional textile industry products have formed a strong impact on the domestic and foreign markets and have not made efforts to reform and adapt. Instead, they have confronted the market by closing the market and strengthening the guild. In the midst of the market tide, Suzhou, the flourishing silk capital, has been declining for a long time. Songjiang, the cotton city that rose at the end of the Yuan Dynasty, has been decimated. In the past, the county of Songjiang Prefecture, Shanghai, relied on a more “higher†machine textile industry. After coming to the top, it eventually became Songjiang's "superior." Concerns over vested interests, fears of GDP loss or employment shocks, and hesitancy to escalate professionalism are likely to result in small losses.
However, it must be noted that the upgrading of the manufacturing industry must follow the laws of the market. It is also necessary to consider comprehensively its impact on the society and on the upstream and downstream industries. The wishful “professional†and “upgrading†are likely to result in a “tall†result. The new product market and consumers do not buy it, creating the expected effect, and the original market share, employment, and profits and taxes will be lost. Ten years of trees, hundreds of years of tree people, brand building, upgrading of professional skills, and accumulation of technology, craftsmanship, and experience all require time and patience. Conceptualization and achievement of “cage-for-cage change†will be the result. If not, sesame seeds are lost.
The advantage of “returning to business†is that the resulting shock is more moderate. The original variable manufacturing direct operation is capital and stock operation. Although low-paying employment opportunities are lost, they can be obtained through the increase of high-paying positions and indirect operations. Benefits make up for the surplus, while the reduction in the number of low-income employment outside the country is also conducive to maintaining social stability. At the same time, the relatively backward production capacity of radiation to the Mainland and overseas developing countries can continue to maintain China’s price competitiveness on the one hand, and it can also promote economic, employment, and social development in backward regions.
However, the risk of “change in employment†is also clear: whether in the Mainland or overseas developing countries, their supporting conditions, labor quality, local administrative efficiency, market concepts, institutional environment, legal maturity, etc., all exist in existing manufacturing bases. With a certain gap, many "forerunners" have suffered from unstable product quality and indefinite delivery period, resulting in serious losses. In fact, the labor costs of these “transfer destinations†have always been lower. The reason why manufacturing investors did not choose “in one step†from the beginning, or had chosen it but tried it, was not without reason.
China is a large country with a vast territory and a complicated situation. It is full and there is still hunger in this area. The east is over the west and the west is still arid. To be made in China, it is also unequal in popularity. The problems faced are diversified and professional. In fact, the two roads to “turning into business†cannot be avoided, neither can they be neglected. Simply focusing on one end and even trying to formulate a “Made in China Manufacturing Improvement Template†that is universally applicable, I am afraid that I can only gain a good enough job. Recognize and master the current situation of China's manufacturing industry imbalances, adapt to local conditions, take advantage of the situation, respect the laws of the market and consumer orientation, the “professional†will be “professionalâ€, and the “change of employment†will be “transferred†so that China can steadily pass the crossroads. , to the new take-off road.
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